Applied AI / research

Solar Power Forecasting

Machine learning research that turns historical weather and energy data into solar-generation forecasts.

Weather and energy data feed a LightGBM model to forecast solar power.SOLAR ENERGY FORECASTINGWEATHER+ ENERGY DATALightGBMPOWERFORECASTFEATURES → MODELS → EVALUATION

PROJECT CONCEPT / APPLIED AI / RESEARCH

Contribution
Research & model development
Context
Eastern New Mexico University
Period
Undergraduate research

The idea

Solar generation changes with weather conditions. This undergraduate research project investigates how historical energy and meteorological features can support useful power-output forecasts.

The approach

I worked through the complete modeling pipeline: cleaning and preparing data, exploring relationships, engineering features, comparing regression models, and tuning hyperparameters.

My contribution

  • Compared LightGBM, ExtraTrees, and Ridge regression models.
  • Evaluated predictions using MAE, RMSE, and R².
  • Examined how weather variables, including solar radiation and temperature, relate to generation.
  • Presented the research at a student research conference.

What I learned

The work connects machine learning with an energy-system problem, emphasizing evaluation and interpretation alongside predictive performance.